Comment l'élection de Trump impacte-t-elle le Bitcoin? Les traders attentifs à la baisse des taux de la Fed alors que le BTC atteint des records à 76K$
Après la victoire électorale de Donald Trump, le Bitcoin a atteint un nouveau record à 76 000 dollars, témoignant d'un sentiment de marché haussier. Le marché prévoit une baisse de 0,25% du taux de la Réserve Fédérale, ce qui favorise généralement les actifs à risque comme le Bitcoin en augmentant la liquidité et en affaiblissant le dollar. Les traders surveillent attentivement les prochains mouvements de la Réserve Fédérale, en particulier tout signal issu des commentaires du président de la Fed, Jerome Powell. Cependant, bien que le Bitcoin ait gagné 6,6% au cours des dernières 24 heures et plus de 21% ces 30 derniers jours, certains craignent voir l'enthousiasme du marché tempéré par d'éventuelles politiques restrictives. De plus, l'élection de Trump pourrait entraîner des déficits et une inflation plus élevés, ce qui pourrait se traduire par une instabilité du marché. En parallèle, l'attention se porte aussi sur un éventuel nouveau plan de relance en provenance de la Chine, qui pourrait influencer les prix du Bitcoin malgré l'interdiction du trading de cryptomonnaies dans le pays. Les politiques d'assouplissement potentielles de la Chine en réponse aux tarifs américains pourraient introduire de la volatilité, en affectant notamment la force du dollar et les mouvements de rendement. En outre, certains traders ne prévoient pas de nouvelles baisses de taux sous l'administration Trump. Malgré des attentes de diminution des probabilités de baisse de taux en raison des politiques "plus amicales" proposées par Trump, le marché prévoit encore 1,8 baisse cette année et 3 autres l'année prochaine. En résumé, l'élection de Trump semble avoir un impact positif sur le Bitcoin et les cryptomonnaies en général, mais des incertitudes demeurent, notamment concernant les politiques monétaires à venir et les tensions commerciales internationales.
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